Hot Bets
Real-time feed of large whale trades across Polymarket. Spot momentum, consensus, and trade ideas at a glance.
Sections
The Hot Bets page is organized into three views:
Live Alerts
A horizontal scrollable bar at the top shows the most recent large whale trades as they happen in real time. Severity levels:
| Level | Trade Size | Color |
|---|---|---|
| HIGH | $100K+ | Red |
| MEDIUM | $50K+ | Amber |
| LOW | $10K+ | Blue |
Strong Signals
When multiple tracked whales bet on the same market in the same direction, they show up here as a grid of signal cards. Each card displays:
- Trader count badge (e.g. 3x, 5x) — how many whales are aligned
- Market title with a small market image
- Outcome (YES/NO) and current price in cents
- Combined value across all traders
- Average copy score
The more whales aligned on the same direction, the stronger the signal. Click Bet [Outcome] to open the trade modal pre-filled.
All Hot Bets
Individual bet cards showing every large whale trade in your selected time window. Each card shows:
| Element | Description |
|---|---|
| Copy Score | Color-coded box (0–100) indicating how reliable the trader is for copy trading |
| Trader | Name, tier badge, verified status, profile picture |
| Market | Market title with thumbnail image (or whale count badge if no image available) |
| Outcome | YES or NO with direction (BUY/SELL badge) |
| Size | Trade amount in USDC |
| Price | Entry price in cents |
| Consensus badges | ”Nx confirm” (same direction) or “Nx against” (opposite direction) |
| Time | How long ago the trade happened |
Click Details to inspect the market or Bet to open the trade modal.
Filters & Controls
| Filter | Options |
|---|---|
| Trade Size | $10k+, $25k+, $50k+, $100k+ |
| Time Window | 1h, 6h, 24h, 7d |
| Sort By | Value, Most Recent, Copy Score, or Price |
| Search | By market name, trader name, or outcome |
Copy Score
Each hot bet has a copy score (0–100) indicating how reliable the trader is to follow. It’s derived from the trader’s overall profile — win rate, profit consistency, tier ranking, and behavioral signals. Higher scores = more reliable.
Whale Consensus
For each market, whale consensus shows the overall direction whales are leaning:
- YES consensus — Most whale money is on YES
- NO consensus — Most whale money is on NO
- SPLIT — Whales are divided, no clear direction
Use consensus to validate a signal before following it, or to find contrarian opportunities.
Tips
- Strong signals (3+ aligned whales) are the highest-conviction plays — multiple independent traders making the same bet.
- High copy score + multiple whales is the strongest buy signal.
- Check “Nx against” badges — if many whales are betting the opposite direction, exercise caution.
- Use the 24h time window for daily opportunities, 7d for trend analysis.